Dynamics of extreme climatic characteristics and trends of dangerous meteorological phenomena over the territory of Western Siberia

Data from ERA5 reanalysis and observations at meteorological stations are used to estimate the spatiotemporal variations of extreme values of climatic and dangerous meteorological phenomena for the territory of Western Siberia over 1979-2020, and to identify the tendencies of their future variations...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Atmospheric and oceanic optics Vol. 35, № 4. P. 394-401
Other Authors: Kharyutkina, Elena V., Loginov, S. V., Moraru, Evgeniia V., Pustovalov, Konstantin N., Martynova, Yu. V.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Online Access:http://vital.lib.tsu.ru/vital/access/manager/Repository/koha:001000224
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245 1 0 |a Dynamics of extreme climatic characteristics and trends of dangerous meteorological phenomena over the territory of Western Siberia  |c E. V. Kharyutkina, S. V. Loginov, E. V. Moraru [et al.] 
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520 3 |a Data from ERA5 reanalysis and observations at meteorological stations are used to estimate the spatiotemporal variations of extreme values of climatic and dangerous meteorological phenomena for the territory of Western Siberia over 1979-2020, and to identify the tendencies of their future variations during the late twenty-first century against the background of global climate change. The combined analysis of the derived estimates made it possible to identify the centers of risk in these areas and to determine the trends in their development. The air temperature is found to increase in the period 2011-2020 throughout Western Siberia, while the amount of precipitation and wind speed do so predominantly in its northern areas. Extreme precipitation amounts increase during summer in the entire area, except in mountainous areas in its southeastern part. In addition, areas affected by heavy rainfall are becoming smaller in the region and are located mainly in the south and along its western boundary. The results of the INM-CM5.0 model calculations revealed the response of the regional climate system to the ongoing global changes: the increasing trend in the number of extreme events in the region will persist until 2100. 
653 |a экстремальные климатические показатели 
653 |a опасные метеорологические явления 
653 |a данные реанализа 
653 |a наблюдения 
653 |a математическое моделирование 
653 |a Западная Сибирь 
655 4 |a статьи в журналах  |9 883151 
700 1 |a Kharyutkina, Elena V.  |9 883150 
700 1 |a Loginov, S. V.  |9 883152 
700 1 |a Moraru, Evgeniia V.  |9 883153 
700 1 |a Pustovalov, Konstantin N.  |9 765259 
700 1 |a Martynova, Yu. V.  |9 883154 
773 0 |t Atmospheric and oceanic optics  |d 2022  |g Vol. 35, № 4. P. 394-401  |x 1024-8560 
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