The nonlinear relationship between public debt and Sovereign credit ratings

This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij
Other Authors: Ricci, Luca Antonio
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund, [2019]
Series:IMF working paper ; WP/19/162.
Subjects:
Online Access:EBSCOhost
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245 1 4 |a The nonlinear relationship between public debt and Sovereign credit ratings  |c by Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Luca Antonio Ricci. 
264 1 |a [Washington, D.C.]  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c [2019] 
300 |a 1 online resource (37 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Paper ;  |v WP/19/162 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
505 0 |a Literature review -- Dataset and emprirical strategy -- Empirical results -- Robustness -- Concluding remarks. 
520 3 |a This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the negative debt-ratings relationship is nonlinear and depends on the rating grade itself; and iii) the identified nonlinearity explains the differential impact of debt on ratings in advanced economies versus in emerging markets and developing economies. These results hold for both gross debt and net debt, and are robust to alternative dependent variable definitions, analytical techniques, and empirical specifications. These findings underscore the potential for fiscal consolidation in helping countries achieve a better credit rating. 
588 0 |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (IMF, viewed Sept. 8, 2020). 
653 0 |a Credit ratings. 
653 0 |a Debts, Public. 
653 0 |a Finance. 
653 0 |a International finance. 
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653 7 |a Credit ratings.  |2 imf 
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