Adaptive optimal prediction of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes

This paper presents applications of the truncated estimation method of ratio type functionals by dependent sample of fixed size. This method makes it possible to obtain estimators with guaranteed accuracy in the sense of the 𝐿2𝑚-norm, 𝑚 ≥ 1. As an illustration, some parametric...

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Published in:ĐśеждŃƒĐ˝Đ°Ń€ĐľднаŃŹ наŃƒŃ‡Đ˝Đ°ŃŹ конференция "Đ ĐľбастнаŃŹ статистика и Ń„инансоваŃŹ ĐĽĐ°Ń‚еĐĽĐ°Ń‚ика - 2018" (09-11 июля 2018 Đł.) : сборник статеĐą С. 31-37
Main Author: Dogadova, Tatiana V.
Other Authors: Vasiliev, Vyacheslav A.
Format: Book Chapter
Language:English
Subjects:
Online Access:http://vital.lib.tsu.ru/vital/access/manager/Repository/vtls:000648713
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245 1 0 |a Adaptive optimal prediction of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes  |c T. V. Dogadova, V. A. Vasiliev 
246 1 1 |a ĐĐ´Đ°ĐżŃ‚ивнĐľе оптимальное прогнĐľзирование процессов Ń‚ипа ĐžŃ€Đ˝ŃˆŃ‚еĐąна-Уленбека 
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520 3 |a This paper presents applications of the truncated estimation method of ratio type functionals by dependent sample of fixed size. This method makes it possible to obtain estimators with guaranteed accuracy in the sense of the 𝐿2đť‘š-norm, đť‘š ≥ 1. As an illustration, some parametric estimation problems on a time interval of a fixed length are considered. In particular, the parameter estimation problem of Gaussian and non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes by continuous and discrete-time observations respectively with guaranteed accuracy is solved. Obtained estimators are used for the construction of adaptive predictors for these processes with unknown parameters. The proposed criteria of optimality are based on the loss function, defined as a linear combination of sample size and squared prediction error's sample mean. As a rule, the optimal sample size is a special stopping time. 
653 |a Đ°Đ´Đ°ĐżŃ‚ивнĐľе оптимальное прогнĐľзирование 
653 |a ĐžŃ€Đ˝ŃˆŃ‚еĐąна-Уленбека процесс 
653 |a ĐłĐ°Ń€Đ°Đ˝Ń‚ированнĐľе оценивание параметров 
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