The nonlinear relationship between public debt and Sovereign credit ratings

This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the...

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Главный автор: Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij
Другие авторы: Ricci, Luca Antonio
Формат: Электронная книга
Язык:English
Публикация: [Washington, D.C.] International Monetary Fund, [2019]
Серии:IMF working paper ; WP/19/162.
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Online-ссылка:EBSCOhost
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Итог:This study investigates the nonlinear relationship between public debt and sovereign credit ratings, using a wide sample of over one hundred advanced, emerging, and developing economies. It finds that: i) higher public debt lowers the probability of being placed in a higher rating category; ii) the negative debt-ratings relationship is nonlinear and depends on the rating grade itself; and iii) the identified nonlinearity explains the differential impact of debt on ratings in advanced economies versus in emerging markets and developing economies. These results hold for both gross debt and net debt, and are robust to alternative dependent variable definitions, analytical techniques, and empirical specifications. These findings underscore the potential for fiscal consolidation in helping countries achieve a better credit rating.
Объем:1 online resource (37 pages)
Библиография:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:149832505X
1513509039
9781498325059
9781513509037